Canada’s crops of wheat and canola look larger than they appeared earlier this summer, after a government agency factored in satellite and other climate data to its estimates for the first time, but the harvest would still be smaller than a year ago.
Statistics Canada on Thursday issued new estimates of crop yields and production, using the additional data along with findings from its Aug. 21 report, which was based on a farmer survey. The fresh estimates are a separate data point, not an update of the Aug. 21 numbers, said Cindy Carter, senior analyst for Statscan’s crops unit.
Statscan estimated spring wheat production at 18.4 million tonnes, compared with 17.97 million in the last report in August and down 13 percent from 2014. That is based on an average yield of 40.5 bushels per acre (39.3 bushels in the last report), down 11.7 percent from last year.
Canola production was estimated at 14.4 million tonnes (13.3 million in the last report), down 11.6 percent from 2014. That is based on the average yield falling 7.2 percent from 2014 to 32.6 bushels per acre (30 bushels in the last report) as well as an expected smaller harvested area.
Statscan said barley production looked to increase 0.5 percent to 7 million tonnes, but it would be smaller than the August estimate of 7.3 million. Oat output looked to climb 10.9 percent from 2014 to 3.2 million tonnes, smaller than Statscan’s previous estimate of 3.3 million.
Statscan’s next crop production report on Oct. 2 will be based as usual on a farmer survey. The agency is considering replacing that report in future with estimates that factor in satellite and climate data, Carter said.
(Source – http://www.blackseagrain.net/novosti/canada-bumps-up-wheat-canola-crop-estimates)